Coinbase Global · stock
COIN options: expected move, IV and max pain
Coinbase Global (COIN) traded near $145.25 at the last snapshot. Option prices for the 20 Nov monthly expiry, which is 21 days away, imply a move of about $19.93 either way (13.72%), a range of $125.33 to $165.18.
- Last price
- $145.25
- Expected move
- ±$19.93
- 13.72% · to 20 Nov
- ATM IV
- 70.4%
- 20 Nov expiry
- Data as of
Source: ThetaData
What stands out in the COIN data
- 30-day IV is 68.3%, the 51st percentile of the last 252 sessions, with an IV rank of 43.
- The 20 Nov chain lists 78 strikes and 119,336 contracts of open interest.
- Open interest is largest at the 18 Dec expiry, at 145,563 contracts.
Expected move by expiry
What the options market is pricing for COIN at each of the expiries below.
| Expiry | Time left | ATM IV | Expected move | Price range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2026NearestWeekly | Time left7 days | ATM IV79.8% | Expected move±$13.30 (9.16%) | Price range$131.95 to $158.55 |
| 20 Nov 2026Monthly | Time left21 days | ATM IV70.4% | Expected move±$19.93 (13.72%) | Price range$125.33 to $165.18 |
| 4 Dec 2026Closest to 30 days | Time left35 days | ATM IV64.2% | Expected move±$23.68 (16.30%) | Price range$121.58 to $168.93 |
| 18 Dec 2026Next monthlyClosest to 60 days | Time left49 days | ATM IV67.2% | Expected move±$29.30 (20.17%) | Price range$115.95 to $174.55 |
Expected move is the price of the at-the-money straddle for the expiry, using midpoint prices (the average of bid and ask, or the last trade when a side has no quote). It is the same figure the Options Matrix shows. The range is the last price plus and minus that move.
The market prices 9.16% for the 6 Nov weekly expiry and 20.17% for the 18 Dec expiry.
Implied volatility and term structure
How much volatility option prices carry, and how it changes from one expiry to the next.
Monthly ATM IV
70.4%
20 Nov 2026, 21 days
Nearest ATM IV
79.8%
6 Nov 2026, 7 days
Longest ATM IV
67.2%
18 Dec 2026, 49 days
30-day IV
68.3%
Stored reading, 30 Oct 2026
IV rank
43
0 is the low, 100 the high, over 252 sessions
IV percentile
51%
Share of the last 252 sessions at or below this reading
Among expiries a week or more away, at-the-money IV runs from 79.8% at 6 Nov to 67.2% at 18 Dec. The curve slopes down: nearer expiries carry more annualised volatility than later ones.
Put wall, call wall and max pain
Where open interest and gamma exposure concentrate for the next two monthly expiries.
| Expiry | Gamma put wall | Open-interest put wall | Gamma call wall | Open-interest call wall | Max pain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2026Monthly | Gamma put wall$1403.6% below spot | Open-interest put wall$1503.3% above spot | Gamma call wall$17017.0% above spot | Open-interest call wall$17017.0% above spot | Max pain$17017.0% above spot |
| The open-interest put wall at $150 sits above the last price, so those puts are in the money. | |||||
| 18 Dec 2026Next monthlyClosest to 60 days | Gamma put wall$1403.6% below spot | Open-interest put wall$11024.3% below spot | Gamma call wall$18527.4% above spot | Open-interest call wall$18527.4% above spot | Max pain$18527.4% above spot |
For the 20 Nov expiry, gamma and open interest agree on the $170 call wall. On puts, open interest places the wall nearer to the last price than gamma does.
Earnings date and contract terms
Next earnings date
Not available
No upcoming earnings date was available from the earnings calendar at the time of this snapshot.
COIN contract terms
- Exercise style
- American style: the holder can exercise at any time up to expiry.
- Settlement
- Physical settlement: exercise and assignment deliver or take 100 shares per contract.
- Last trading day
- Trading ends at the close on the expiry date shown in each row. Monthly expiries fall on the third Friday, or the Thursday before when Friday is a market holiday.
How to read these numbers
- Expected move
- The at-the-money straddle price at midpoint prices: the size of move the market charges for in either direction, not a forecast.Breakevens and max loss
- ATM implied volatility
- Annualised volatility implied by at-the-money prices for one expiry; across expiries it forms the term structure.Implied volatility explained
- IV rank and percentile
- Rank places 30-day IV between its lowest and highest stored reading; percentile is the share of stored sessions at or below the current reading.
- Gamma and open-interest walls
- Gamma walls are the strikes with the most positive (call) and most negative (put) net gamma exposure; open-interest walls are the strikes with the most open calls and puts. A wall can sit on either side of the last price.Put wall vs max pain
- Max pain
- The strike where option holders would collect the least at expiry, given open interest. It does not predict the settlement price.Open interest vs volume
Model COIN trades with these numbers
The Visualizer reprices COIN live when you open it, then draws the expected move and probability range beside your payoff chart. The figures here are a snapshot from the time shown above, so they can differ slightly from the live screens.
More options data
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- LQDT optionsLiquidity Services
Educational and informational only, not financial advice. Option figures are calculated from ThetaData quotes and open interest at the time shown. 30-day IV, IV rank and IV percentile come from stored daily readings, and earnings dates come from an earnings calendar. The figures describe what option prices imply, not what will happen. You make every trading decision. Options trading involves risk and is not suitable for all investors.